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Article 9: The College Pulse

After the unexpected result of Tuesday’s voting on Article 9, and yesterday’s informed speculation about why students voted as they did — particularly the students who voted “no” — Dartblog commissioned a poll from College Pulse, the student survey start-up that promises to bring rapidly conducted surveys to the educational and other markets at very competitive prices. College Pulse sent out a survey about Article 9 to 1,100 randomized students during the afternoon of May 10th; 334 students responded by 7pm on May 11, an excellent 30% response rate. Here are the results — with a credibility interval of 4.3%.

Of the 4,234 students on campus, College Pulse estimates that 44% voted: that’s 1,860 student voters:

Pulse Article 9 Participation.jpg

The 44% figure can be broken down into 32% of all students voting for Article 9 (1,352 students) and a surprising 12% who voted against it (507 students):

Pulse Article 9 Voters For Against.jpg

Looking at the entire student body, while fraternity men strongly supported Article 9, a majority of sorority women somewhat or strongly opposed it:

Pulse Article 9 Support.jpg

As might have been expected, among student who voted, fraternity brothers supported Article 9 by a margin of over 10:1. However, 36.36% of sorority women and 29.27% of unaffiliated students (including freshmen) voted against it:

Pulse Article 9 Voting.jpg

I’ll have the raw numbers of how the various groups voted soon.

But we can see how in a vote where the final tally was 1,993 to 1,471 in favor of the “no” side, 507 “no” votes by Dartmouth students made all the difference in the world. Had they stayed home, the result would have been too close to call; and had they voted for the “yes” side with most of the Greeks, the result would have been inverted (with ensuing litigation on the constitutionality of a Town statute that allows a private landowner to demand a super-majority).

Addendum: The folks at Campus Pulse sent out the same survey to a different 1,100 students using the Qualtrics service that the College employs (at great expense). The response rate was only 3%.


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